RESOLVE / OBSERVATION 01

PROJECT RESOLVE

Robustness Evaluation of South-Polar Observation and Lunar Visibility Estimates

Before you trust the window,
audit the model.

dGR10188.513° S / 68.015° W
ONE STORED UTC SNAPSHOT17 NOV 2026 / 14:30Fixed absolute observer
HORIZON ELEVATION (°) / FROZEN ANGULAR SKYLINESun & Earth markers show centers, not disc sizes
Predicted simultaneous Sun/Earth visibility7.40DAYS

NASA Product 78 · 5 m terrain representation

Fixed absolute observer
The same physical observer elevation across terrain representations.
Complete modeled interval

Geometric Sun/Earth centers. This does not establish available power, a working communications link or mission approval.

01 Start with a result02 Test the representation03 Trace the mechanismExplore sites & dates

Scientific record · R-01C

Result evidence.

Frozen results for P78 SL2 5 m. Every value below keeps its original source value, units and location.

Fixed absolute elevationComplete intervalsGeometric center clearance

Exact values & provenance

Nominal pixel spacing5 m
Artifact
results/r01c/resolution_response.csv
Location
CSV record 2 (header = record 1)
Field
pixel_spacing_m
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
bc7d942579e719746a23411d02c4a7b6a01b9b27ef670b65592ac89180d45441
NASA product identifier78 product id
Artifact
results/r01c/resolution_response.csv
Location
CSV record 2 (header = record 1)
Field
nasa_product
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
bc7d942579e719746a23411d02c4a7b6a01b9b27ef670b65592ac89180d45441
Simultaneous window duration7.397830353561375 d
Artifact
results/r01c/resolution_response.csv
Location
CSV record 3 (header = record 1)
Field
simultaneous_days
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
bc7d942579e719746a23411d02c4a7b6a01b9b27ef670b65592ac89180d45441
Interval start2026-11-22T14:53:56.611Z UTC
Artifact
results/r01c/resolution_response.csv
Location
CSV record 3 (header = record 1)
Field
simultaneous_start_utc
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
bc7d942579e719746a23411d02c4a7b6a01b9b27ef670b65592ac89180d45441
Interval end2026-11-30T00:26:49.154Z UTC
Artifact
results/r01c/resolution_response.csv
Location
CSV record 3 (header = record 1)
Field
simultaneous_end_utc
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
bc7d942579e719746a23411d02c4a7b6a01b9b27ef670b65592ac89180d45441
Left censoringFalse boolean
Artifact
results/r01c/resolution_response.csv
Location
CSV record 3 (header = record 1)
Field
simultaneous_left_censored
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
bc7d942579e719746a23411d02c4a7b6a01b9b27ef670b65592ac89180d45441
Right censoringFalse boolean
Artifact
results/r01c/resolution_response.csv
Location
CSV record 3 (header = record 1)
Field
simultaneous_right_censored
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
bc7d942579e719746a23411d02c4a7b6a01b9b27ef670b65592ac89180d45441
Difference from P78 under the same definitions0.0 d
Artifact
results/r01c/resolution_response.csv
Location
CSV record 3 (header = record 1)
Field
simultaneous_delta_5m_days
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
bc7d942579e719746a23411d02c4a7b6a01b9b27ef670b65592ac89180d45441
Ground at observer1533.774658203125 m above reference radius
Artifact
results/r01c/resolution_response.csv
Location
CSV record 3 (header = record 1)
Field
ground_height_m
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
bc7d942579e719746a23411d02c4a7b6a01b9b27ef670b65592ac89180d45441
Observer above represented ground2.0 m
Artifact
results/r01c/resolution_response.csv
Location
CSV record 3 (header = record 1)
Field
observer_above_ground_m
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
bc7d942579e719746a23411d02c4a7b6a01b9b27ef670b65592ac89180d45441
Absolute observer elevation1535.774658203125 m above reference radius
Artifact
results/r01c/resolution_response.csv
Location
CSV record 3 (header = record 1)
Field
absolute_observer_height_m
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
bc7d942579e719746a23411d02c4a7b6a01b9b27ef670b65592ac89180d45441
Horizon at nominal solar-onset sector1.5378778149285897 deg
Artifact
results/r01c/resolution_response.csv
Location
CSV record 3 (header = record 1)
Field
horizon_at_nominal_solar_azimuth_deg
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
bc7d942579e719746a23411d02c4a7b6a01b9b27ef670b65592ac89180d45441
Own late solar-onset azimuth89.83555947025954 deg
Artifact
results/r01c/horizon_witnesses.csv
Location
CSV record 2 (header = record 1)
Field
target_azimuth_deg
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
9a63406081569c2e6cbef53ad64a76ff569c3939c43a2d932b9df872f2545565
Lower bracketing-ray witness surface range49.125 m
Artifact
results/r01c/horizon_witnesses.csv
Location
CSV record 2 (header = record 1)
Field
surface_range_m
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
9a63406081569c2e6cbef53ad64a76ff569c3939c43a2d932b9df872f2545565
Witness surface elevation1537.0904541015625 m above reference radius
Artifact
results/r01c/horizon_witnesses.csv
Location
CSV record 2 (header = record 1)
Field
witness_height_m
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
9a63406081569c2e6cbef53ad64a76ff569c3939c43a2d932b9df872f2545565
Witness source row3214.988672505829 pixel row
Artifact
results/r01c/horizon_witnesses.csv
Location
CSV record 2 (header = record 1)
Field
source_row
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
9a63406081569c2e6cbef53ad64a76ff569c3939c43a2d932b9df872f2545565
Witness source column3342.63530334986 pixel column
Artifact
results/r01c/horizon_witnesses.csv
Location
CSV record 2 (header = record 1)
Field
source_col
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
9a63406081569c2e6cbef53ad64a76ff569c3939c43a2d932b9df872f2545565
Nominal P78 witness · Direct LOLA count · Product 781.0 count
Artifact
results/r01c/witness_data_support.csv
Location
CSV record 2 (header = record 1)
Field
center
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
c0931e2caa2dcec1fa7c092817c48c109cd5936a68f048eff23914744b14e0d6
Nominal P78 witness · Elevation RMS · Product 780.13140538334846497 m
Artifact
results/r01c/witness_data_support.csv
Location
CSV record 3 (header = record 1)
Field
center
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
c0931e2caa2dcec1fa7c092817c48c109cd5936a68f048eff23914744b14e0d6
Nominal P78 witness · Effective resolution field · Product 9015.005183219909668 m
Artifact
results/r01c/witness_data_support.csv
Location
CSV record 10 (header = record 1)
Field
center
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
c0931e2caa2dcec1fa7c092817c48c109cd5936a68f048eff23914744b14e0d6
Nominal P78 witness · Illuminated input images · Product 10411.0 count
Artifact
results/r01c/witness_data_support.csv
Location
CSV record 5 (header = record 1)
Field
center
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
c0931e2caa2dcec1fa7c092817c48c109cd5936a68f048eff23914744b14e0d6
Nominal P78 witness · Best input image resolution · Product 1041.100000023841858 m
Artifact
results/r01c/witness_data_support.csv
Location
CSV record 6 (header = record 1)
Field
center
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
c0931e2caa2dcec1fa7c092817c48c109cd5936a68f048eff23914744b14e0d6
Reported SDEM ground offset at observer1.325806 m
Artifact
results/r01c/R01C_FINDING.md
Location
Text line 87
Field
reported value
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
56fa6aed058bc01862c559c6a94748074c26f9325bb0d74b6fa03bc92befd9f0
Reported aligned comparison range49.000 m
Artifact
results/r01c/R01C_FINDING.md
Location
Text line 176
Field
reported value
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
56fa6aed058bc01862c559c6a94748074c26f9325bb0d74b6fa03bc92befd9f0
Reported 80 m minus 5 m height on aligned ray-1.647339 m
Artifact
results/r01c/R01C_FINDING.md
Location
Text line 177
Field
reported value
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
56fa6aed058bc01862c559c6a94748074c26f9325bb0d74b6fa03bc92befd9f0
Site latitude-88.5134116385092 deg
Artifact
data/processed/r01c/r01c_manifest.json
Location
JSON /geometry/latitude_deg
Field
latitude_deg
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
d45b2bb8ac8675491522b54d989d3726fac5e8a9d0e3b53226faea6ebf4aca95
Site longitude-68.01460926527753 deg east
Artifact
data/processed/r01c/r01c_manifest.json
Location
JSON /geometry/longitude_east_deg
Field
longitude_east_deg
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
d45b2bb8ac8675491522b54d989d3726fac5e8a9d0e3b53226faea6ebf4aca95
Reference radius1737400 m
Artifact
data/processed/r01c/r01c_manifest.json
Location
JSON /geometry/reference_radius_m
Field
reference_radius_m
Experiment
R-01C
SHA-256
d45b2bb8ac8675491522b54d989d3726fac5e8a9d0e3b53226faea6ebf4aca95

Representation & geometry

LOLA local

Source raster
data/raw/terrain/SL2_final_adj_5mpp_surf.tif
Source SHA-256
16737cb5fdaa47f243715e003450deadeabc6fb1b947a5ed245d5a3fd78a2208
Frame / ephemeris
MOON_ME_DE421 / DE421
Aberration correction
NONE
Observable
Geometric center clearance. Finite-disc and operational constraints are outside this result.

Source records

Horizon and profile source mapping

Skyline samples retain each original witness index, azimuth and elevation. Terrain sections retain each original range/height sample index. Dense samples are display points, not independent observations.

Selected skyline
data/processed/r01c/P78_5m_refined_fixed_absolute_horizon.json
Skyline fields
/witnesses/[original index]/azimuth_deg and horizon_elevation_deg
Terrain sections
data/processed/r01c/mechanism.json · /profiles/[profile index]/range_m and height_m
Profile source SHA-256
a0ee1ddf188a01fb877d37799055993468baa06bf16b313969d60a47d8fb3c2d

The research changed the question.

Inspect the control example, methodology and validation →

  1. R-01A · A negative result

    The original local terrain-uncertainty hypothesis was not supported at dGR203 for the tested decision. The negative control is part of the evidence.

    Original finding ↗
  2. R-01B · A different sensitivity

    Model-form sensitivity emerged, especially at dGR101. The separate historical dGR203 replication gap remained unresolved.

  3. R-01C · Native products tested

    The large dGR101 representation response survived native NASA terrain products. Removing domain clipping changed the earlier threshold interpretation.

What this evidence supports

Classification applies to this site + observable + analysis definition + evaluated model set. Duration differences describe model response; they do not establish which terrain representation is physically closest to the Moon.

  • Each horizon value interpolates bracketing rays; witness is a sampled/interpolated DEM point, not a direct measurement
  • Profiles use bilinear representations on an aligned ray; dense plot samples are not independent observations
  • Product104 MASK/BRES/DIFF semantics from original regional README; SIGM filename mapping to its GLD03 remains inferred
  • Ancillary support does not calibrate truth probability or measurement benefit

No fine-grid W* convergence was established. Pixel spacing is not independent terrain knowledge. Observer conventions are alternative analysis definitions.